Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Why Won't This Market Go Down?

The fundamental reason why this market may not go down (when for all intents and purposes it probably should) is because there are still plenty of investors still sitting on the sidelines just waiting for it to fall to get back in.

I hate the idea that the market level is in fact set by supply and demand rather than fundamentals. But you would argue that supply and demand are a part of fundamentals. Yes and no. Yes in the sense that the market is simply a market with prices set by supply and demand. But no in the sense that the market does not always reflect the fundamental economic reality of an asset.

When supply and demand are more a function of sentiment than economics, then perverse outcomes tend to happen.




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