Friday, November 18, 2011

Global Socio-Politico Trends

Post the Great Depression the global socio-economic trend among political elites was toward greater government involvement in the economy. That trend finally came to an end, shipwrecked on the rocks of the 70s recession. But by the time it had run its course, it had blended opposing socio-economic ideologies into indistinguishable political forms. Turning, so-called "conservatives," such as Richard Nixon, Edward Heath, Helmut Schmidt, Valery Giscard d'Estaing, Malcolm Fraser, and Robert Muldoon into quintessential socialists. Such is the pressure of a trend and a supportive ideology (Keynesianism).

The natural backlash to the expanding Statism of the 50s, 60s, and 70s, was the countermove toward deregulation and financial liberalization in the 80s and 90s, led by Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan (supported incidentally by ideological liberals Francois Mitterand, Bob Hawke and David Lange in France, Australia, and New Zealand respectively). This trend now appears to have run its own course, shipwrecked on the shoals of the Global Financial Crisis, with Tony Blair and Bill Clinton the best examples of political actors who melded their opposing ideological disposition to the dominant ideology of the time (monetarism). Whether Democrat or Republican, Labour or Liberal, the times and the culture might change, but the dominant political parties seem to move symbiotically together.

Interestingly, the role that President Carter played (serving in the transitional flux between periods) might serve as a template for the role that President Obama is playing, as socio-political forces work out a new direction.

"plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose"

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